AI Market Outlook: Forex, Equities & Crypto for Nov 3, 2025

Welcome to the Artificial Intelligence Outlook for Forex trading, presenting a comprehensive market analysis powered by Vantage Point AI for the week of November 3, 2025. This report delves into key financial instruments, offering insights derived from advanced predictive indicators to navigate the complexities of global markets.

The current market landscape is characterized by shifting monetary policy expectations and intricate intermarket correlations, demanding a sophisticated approach to trading. Our AI-driven forecasts aim to provide clarity amidst this volatility, highlighting critical support and resistance levels, and anticipating potential trend reversals across various asset classes.

U.S. Dollar Index: A Bullish Stance Amidst Policy Shifts

The U.S. Dollar Index (UUP / USDU) presents a nuanced but generally bullish outlook. Analysis of the USDU, which employs distinct calculations for dollar strength, indicates a recent medium-term MA diff cross to the upside. This signal, coupled with the predicted RSI remaining above the 50-level and a neural index strength pointing upwards, reinforces a positive sentiment. Furthermore, the USDU continues to trade above its quarterly opening price and the Tross long at 26.72, underscoring its foundational strength.

Conversely, the UUP exhibits a slightly different trajectory. While multiple false breaks below the 40-level on the predicted RSI were observed, a recovery is now underway. The medium-term crossover's strength relative to the long-term remains bullish. Despite having traded below the calendar yearly opening price for a significant portion of the year, the Federal Reserve's recent hawkish rhetoric regarding interest rate cuts has prompted market re-evaluation. The Fed's stance, emphasizing a well-performing economy and no rush to cut rates, provides fundamental support for the dollar, particularly at the beginning of the month when seasonal strength is often observed.

Equity Markets: Corrective Moves Anticipated

Both U.S. and European equity markets appear poised for corrective movements. The S&P 500 Index has registered an MA diff cross to the downside, suggesting an impending correction towards its TROS long at 6,7466. A sustained breakdown below this level and the quarterly opening price at 6,6317 would signify a more profound trend reversal, driven by the market's recalibration of Fed rate cut expectations.

The DAX (Global X & Futures) signals an even more significant potential breakdown. The Global X DAX futures are currently trading below their calendar monthly and quarterly opening prices, as well as the TROS long at 44.72. These levels are critical to monitor, with sustained breaks above 44.91 required for a bullish reversal. While a discrepancy exists between the Global X and the DAX futures (with the latter still above its quarterly opening price at 24,019), both indicators suggest a bearish sentiment, raising questions about whether the futures are lagging or if the Global X signal is a leading indicator.

Volatility Index ($VIX): A Critical Juncture

The Volatility Index ($VIX) is a key gauge for assessing market sentiment. An MA diff cross indicates a corrective move back to the Tcross long. For a continued downtrend in the DAX and S&P 500, the VIX must convincingly break through its Tcross long at 33.04. Currently, the VIX has penetrated its quarterly opening price at 32.48. However, the predicted RSI, which ideally needs to remain above 60 to confirm a bullish move in volatility, does not fully support this strength. Traders are advised to monitor the 33.04 level closely; a failure to hold above it could trigger a reversal higher in global indices.

U.S. OIL ($USO): Persistent Bearishness

Oil prices continue to exhibit a bearish trend. Despite retracements towards the quarterly and monthly opening prices, oil remains negative for the year, with a key resistance at 72.65. The weakening medium-term strength against the long-term, as indicated by the MA diff cross, suggests that any upward movements are corrective. A sustained break above 72.65 is necessary to reconsider a bullish stance. Currently, low demand persists, with natural gas contracts showing a slight edge.

BITCOIN: Navigating Mixed Signals

Bitcoin presents a complex picture with mixed signals. While the predicted RSI holds above 50 and the neural index points higher, an MA diff cross serves as a warning of a potential false break, implying that recent gains might be corrective. The yearly opening price at 93,804 is a crucial support. The Tcross long at 115,1980 represents a significant resistance; a failure to quickly surpass this level could lead to a deeper corrective move. Bitcoin's trajectory remains sensitive to fundamental headlines and central bank rhetoric.

Forex Majors: Divergent Paths

• Euro versus U.S. Dollar ($EUR/USD): Mirroring the inverse correlation with the US Dollar Index, the EUR/USD appears set for a significant move to the downside. Key resistance is at the monthly/quarterly opening price of 1.1734, with critical support around 1.1543. A sustained break below these verified zones could lead to a deeper decline towards the 1.13 area.
• U.S. Dollar versus Swiss Franc ($USD/CHF): The USD/CHF pair reinforces dollar strength, currently trading sideways within a long-term channel. Bullish signals persist for the upcoming week, with a focus on potential movements towards the 0.8132 area before any reassessment of a lower trajectory.
• British Pound versus U.S. Dollar ($GBP/USD): The GBP/USD shows potential for recovery against the dollar, distinct from the euro. An emerging MA diff cross to the upside suggests a corrective move. The predicted low for Monday at 1.3106 is a critical area, with a potential retracement back to the Tcross long at 1.3317. This divergence also highlights a potential opportunity in the EUR/GBP cross.
• U.S. Dollar versus Japanese Yen ($USD/JPY): The carry trade appears to be back on, supported by the Fed's steadfast stance against rate cuts and positive economic data. While an MA diff cross to the downside suggests a corrective move lower, remaining above the TROS long at 151.95 indicates underlying bullishness. Traders should watch for potential Monday dips followed by a rebound throughout the week.
• U.S. Dollar versus Canadian Dollar ($USD/CAD): The Canadian dollar faces significant headwinds, including a recent rate cut and a dire economic forecast from the Bank of Canada. All Vantage Point signals favor longs for USD/CAD, with strong recommendations to sell the Canadian dollar against various pairs (NZD/CAD, AUD/CAD, EUR/CAD, GBP/CAD, USD/CAD). A sustained break below 1.3920 is required to reverse this bullish USD/CAD outlook.
• Australian Dollar versus U.S. Dollar ($AUD/USD): The AUD/USD, along with NZD/USD, has been impacted by dollar strength. The pair is currently resting on its Tross long at 0.6543, indicating a potential bearish turn. However, the AUD remains positive for the year, up 5.67% against the dollar. An MA diff cross suggests a move lower towards 0.6444 is likely, but a long-term bearish play is not anticipated.
• New Zealand Dollar versus U.S. Dollar ($NZD/USD): Similar to the AUD/USD, the NZD/USD shows building momentum to the downside, having already fallen below its TORS long. Key resistance levels are 0.5794 (quarterly opening price) and 0.5756 (TROS long). The AUD/USD is currently exhibiting greater strength compared to the NZD/USD.

In conclusion, the week of November 3, 2025, promises continued market volatility. However, by leveraging the predictive power of Artificial Intelligence and identifying crucial technical levels, traders can uncover significant opportunities across forex, equity, commodity, and cryptocurrency markets.