Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: Blowoff Rally or Cycle Top?
Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: Blowoff Rally or Cycle Top?
Bitcoin's journey through its four-year market cycle is nearing a pivotal moment, presenting two distinct possibilities: an imminent euphoric “blowoff” rally to unprecedented highs, or the market having already established its peak at the 33-month mark. This compelling dilemma comes from veteran cycle analyst Bob Loukas, who shared his insights in a video on September 24, 2025. Loukas, while leaning “heavily” towards a powerful Q4 upside into a cycle high, meticulously outlined the critical indicators that could confirm a pre-existing market top. His analysis offers a crucial perspective for investors navigating the volatile cryptocurrency landscape. Approaching Bitcoin's Decisive Inflection Point Loukas characterizes the current market as the advanced stages of Bitcoin's typical rising phase, highlighting a “pretty consistent uptrend” since the bear-market lows. This ascent has been punctuated by significant periods of “outperformance,” which, according to his model, have h…