Recent movements within the XRP community have sparked considerable debate and renewed optimism regarding the cryptocurrency's potential price trajectory. A notable return to social media by a prominent developer has been identified as a key catalyst, drawing the attention of both long-term holders and market analysts alike. This development has reignited discussions about XRP's capacity for significant upward price movements, potentially challenging historical resistance levels.
Harry Harald, a web developer with a substantial following and influence within the XRP ecosystem, broke his silence this past weekend, posting about XRP for the first time since May. This seemingly simple act reverberated quickly throughout the community, prompting immediate and enthusiastic responses from other influential figures. The consensus emerging from these interactions suggests that a notable price ascent, possibly reaching the $4 mark, is now considered a plausible scenario by some. While the week commenced with XRP experiencing a slight dip, initially falling to $2.77 before stabilizing around $2.82, this renewed chatter emerged shortly after a minor pullback from yesterday's $3 trading level.
Community Voices Drive Momentum for a $4 Target
The sentiment was further amplified by figures like Alex Cobb, an influential voice who echoed Harald’s remarks across social platforms. Cobb's endorsement, alongside other community leaders, played a significant role in injecting fresh optimism among traders and investors. Drawing parallels from social media discussions and broader market analysis, Cobb specifically highlighted $4 as a realistic near-term target for XRP's rebound. Achieving this price point from its current trading level of approximately $2.86 would represent a substantial gain of roughly 42%. More importantly, such a move would signify a breakthrough past a critical psychological and historical ceiling. XRP has not consistently traded above the $3.80 mark since a major rally in 2018, making this potential breach a pivotal event for the asset.
When Harry speaks I listen
XRP $4.00 https://t.co/0Bpfx0cnjH
— Cobb (@Cobb_XRPL) September 21, 2025
Technical Indicators Point Towards a Recovery Path
Beyond the fervent community discussions, a number of technical analysts have identified compelling signals that lend credence to this bullish outlook. Ali Martinez, a respected voice in crypto analysis, reported a ‘TD Sequential buy’ signal appearing on the four-hour chart for XRP. The TD Sequential is a popular indicator used by traders to identify potential price reversal points, often signaling entry opportunities after a series of consecutive lower closes. Supporters of this methodology often point to historical data, suggesting that the TD Sequential has demonstrated an accuracy rate of approximately 60–70% on higher timeframes. Furthermore, they highlight that three out of four two-week buy signals observed since 2022 were subsequently followed by significant price rallies for XRP, adding weight to the current signal.
Traders are also keenly observing other crucial technical developments. XRP has successfully broken out of a sustained downtrend, a positive sign often preceding upward momentum, after finding a solid bottom at $2.65 earlier in September. Moreover, the asset is currently maintaining its position above both the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and its 50-day moving average. Both of these indicators are widely regarded as significant bullish signals within technical analysis, suggesting underlying strength and a potential for continued price appreciation. The combination of these technical factors, alongside renewed community enthusiasm, presents a robust case for a potential price recovery.
Price Action and Key Resistance Levels
Despite these optimistic signals, XRP has experienced a period of consolidation, largely remaining confined near the $3 mark for several weeks. This price stagnation began in July, and the token has struggled to initiate a decisive breakout since then. It currently trades approximately 25% below its recent swing high of $3.65, which was established two months ago. This resistance level represents a significant hurdle that XRP bulls will need to overcome to validate the more ambitious price targets. The prolonged sideways movement can be attributed to various market dynamics, yet the underlying sentiment appears to be shifting.
Yes the lawsuit excuse has run its course for any further lack of XRP adoption or flat price action. https://t.co/Gl2U8Z7Ui9
— bill morgan (@Belisarius2020) September 22, 2025
Legal and ETF Narratives Influence Sentiment
Adding another layer of complexity and potential influence are ongoing legal and regulatory developments surrounding Ripple, the company behind XRP. Earlier reports indicated that Ripple had initially placed a substantial $125 million fine into an escrow account following Judge Torres' final judgment in their high-profile case. Although the SEC later agreed to a reduced penalty of $50 million as part of a potential settlement, the presiding judge notably rejected requests to reduce the original $125 million order. Both Ripple and the SEC subsequently withdrew their appeals in the US Second Circuit in August, a move that surprised many. Crucially, the precise status and disposition of these escrowed funds have not been publicly clarified, leaving some ambiguity in the legal narrative.
@FilanLaw Have the $125Mil in escrowed funds from @Ripple for the Fines imposed by the Judge in the case with the SEC been settled to the Treasury?
— Jake Claver, QFOP (@beyond_broke) September 21, 2025
In parallel to these legal intricacies, considerable speculation is building around the potential approval of an XRP Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) by the SEC, possibly as early as next month. This prospect has introduced an entirely new dimension of bullish expectation into the market. Proponents of an XRP ETF suggest that its approval could unleash a flood of institutional capital, potentially amounting to billions of dollars, into the XRP ecosystem. The successful launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs has set a precedent, fueling hopes that XRP could be the next digital asset to gain mainstream institutional accessibility, thereby significantly boosting its demand and price.
In conclusion, the confluence of renewed developer activity, amplified by key community influencers, robust technical indicators signaling a potential upturn, and the lingering yet significant narratives surrounding regulatory clarity and potential ETF approval, are collectively contributing to a palpable surge in optimism for XRP. While the path to $4 and beyond presents its challenges, these factors suggest that XRP is at a critical juncture, poised for potentially transformative price action in the near future.
